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Technical & financial analysis of solar PV plants

STOWAI

Solar PV Financial Modelling Due Diligence O&M Optimization Machine Learning 2024
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What is it?

STOWAI is a Madrid-based company that helps utility-scale solar PV plants produce more and spend less on operation and maintenance (O&M), with a particular focus on tracker structures. Since January 2024 I have worked there as Project Manager, Technical & Financial Analysis: building financial models of the plants, leading technical due diligence, optimizing O&M cost across operating portfolios, and developing commercial partnerships with leading Spanish solar companies.

Financial modelling

I build financial models of utility-scale solar PV plants covering capital expenditure (CAPEX), O&M cost, production, and revenue, to test viability and support investment decisions. CAPEX, O&M, and P50/P90 production sensitivities identify the main drivers of project returns and size the downside cases. To ground those inputs, I model electricity prices, weather variables, and structural failure probability with statistical and machine-learning methods, converting them into revenue, O&M, and replacement CAPEX assumptions.

Due diligence and operations

I lead technical due diligence on solar PV plants and tracker structures, reporting findings to clients and informing CAPEX and material-efficiency decisions. Across operating PV portfolios I optimize O&M cost, raising availability and asset life: the operating inputs behind cash flows and debt service coverage (DSCR).

A note on confidentiality

The models, due diligence reports, and plant data behind this work are confidential, so this page describes the work rather than showing it. For a public example of this kind of analysis, my Project Finance, in Python series builds a solar PV model that sizes debt to a target DSCR, prices the equity IRR, and stress-tests returns with Monte Carlo simulation of irradiance and OMIE prices.